Christmas 2015 Outlook!

Posted: December 16, 2015, 5:52 pm by spatrick

Now that we are one week away from Christmas, the WeatherWorks Meteorologists are starting to get a better handle on what to expect for Santa's arrival. Unfortunately for some, it looks incredibly unlikely to have a White Christmas here in the Northeast. But for those enjoying the recent stretch of warmth, you're in for a treat! After we cool down this weekend and experience temperatures more fitting for December, we will quickly warm back up again towards the middle of next week...potentially reaching record breaking warmth!

Expected set-up for Christmas week, courtesy of the National Weather Service in Binghamton, NY. Colder air stays within Canada while moist and warm air ride up into the East Coast.

As has been the trend so far this December, after the quick cool shot this weekend (perhpas even some flurries or a snow shower Fri Night/Saturday, especially New England), warmer temperatures likely return to the Northeast along with a series of disturbances that will keep us wet much of next week. The European model even shows signs of temperatures rising into the 50s and 60s leading up to Christmas! However, we are watching the potential for a trough to build into the region on Christmas Day, ushering back in "cooler" temperatures yet still mild for Christmas Day. A trough over the Northeast could also result in a passing lake effect rain shower as well for the holiday. Keep in mind that while there is some uncertainty on whether we'll be totally dry or not on Christmas, confidence is high that above normal temperatures will reign supreme with no significant pattern shift on the horizon.

Image courtesy of NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Temperatures for the week of Christmas are expected to have a 90% or greater chance to be above normal across the East Coast.

Director of Forensic and Data Services / Lead Meteorologist
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