Quick Outlook for Summer 2018
With an active end to winter and a cold entry into spring now safely behind us, our thoughts trend toward how summer-time heat and storms will play out in the upcoming season. For forecast clues, attention turns to a large-scale pattern favorite, the El Nino Southern Oscillation, or ENSO for short. As ENSO arguably plays one of the biggest roles when it comes to seasonal temperature and precipitation trends, our 2018 Summer Forecast analyzes these progressions closely.
2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
It felt like winter just ended yesterday but we are currently on the cusp of hurricane season, which begins June 1st. So, now is a good time to gauge what has been happening pattern-wise and what trends are in store for the future. While the Northeast was spared from the active 2017 hurricane season, will this year be just as busy? Let’s take a look at the factors that will influence tropical activity over the next several months.
(Snow) History 101?
The key to excelling in the future is by looking at the past. A great example is with snowfall climatology. Being armed with the knowledge of past snowfall data can give you the extra edge with next winter’s snowfall contacts. See a sample of what we can add to you pre-season bidding process below with a customizable 10 , 20 or 30 year analytical breakdown for any location with our Snowtistics product. Add in the ability to display month and event counts, and your customers will be impressed during contract time.
April 2018: Slow Transition to Spring
Indeed, winter would not give up as colder than normal conditions persisted well into the first two-thirds of April. While it was effectively over in states like Maryland, Virginia, and most of Delaware, snow continued to fall across northern states as temperatures remained stubbornly below normal otherwise. Seasonable weather would arrive eventually but took until the pattern broke by the final week, making April arguably one of the worst transition months into Spring in a while.
Listen to Meteorologist Mike Mihalik on WRNJ!
Our very own Meteorologist and Director of Social Media, Mike Mihalik, was featured on WRNJ Radio's Newsline program on Thursday, May 3rd! He was interviewed by Joyce Estey, News Director (wrnjradio.com). They covered a range of topics but mostly focused on this past March and the train of nor'Easters that struck the Northeast United States. If you missed last week's program on WRNJ, or if you're out of their listening area and want to hear what Mike had to say, we have the link to the interview posted below! Be sure to listen in!
A Look Into Weather Models - And What's Ahead
The science of weather is not an easy one to grasp, as the atmosphere is a complex fluid of rising, sinking, and circulating air. Of course, there are old school methods of forecasting weather, by analyzing ground and air observations and extrapolating that data into figuring out approximately where certain airmasses will travel to using textbook principles of physics, thermodynamics, and yes... calculus. That can get time-consuming and complicated. Thankfully, in today’s need-to-know-now world, we have computer models.
Switching Gears to Summer
As winter takes its final breaths, our minds begin to switch gears in anticipation for the warm season ahead. Whether it means preparing the mowers for landscaping or just putting away the shovels and plows, we find ourselves running through the to-do list to get set for the big year ahead.
Northeast U.S. Final Freeze Stats
Now that the final snow events of the winter season are mostly behind us, most are transitioning into warm season operations. As the winter and spring season battle it out, these early weeks of spring can be especially frustrating for landscapers. Mother Nature often “tricks” sprouting flowers with warm and sunny days only to be followed by a hard freeze overnight. However, by definition, the growing season does not officially begin until we have seen our last freeze of the winter. But when does that typically happen? See the chart below to find out.
Compare 2017-18 Snowfall to Climatology
Well, how did you like that winter? To say the least, it was a pretty unusual end to the season with snowstorms increasing in frequency heading into March and even lingering into early April. In fact, some monthly snowfall amounts for March 2018 even cracked the top 5 snowiest in recorded history for the month.