May 2019: Why the Active Weather?
From the Plains to the Great Lakes to parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, the second half of May was extremely active with heavy rain and severe weather. Tornadoes occurred as far east as New Jersey, with flooding from Oklahoma to New Jersey and many places in between, along with damaging winds and hail in some locales.
May 2019: Tornado Outbreak Caps Off an Active Month
May of 2019 will be remembered for a lot of rain and severe weather across the Midwest. The first half of the month was the quieter half, with the bulk of the severe weather and flooding occurring after mid-month.
2019 Summer Forecast
The summer of 2018 was not a friendly one for outdoor activities from the Midwest to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Warm, humid conditions were common with a boatload of rain for many as well. The winter wasn’t snowy for everyone, but it remained wet and active, with only a few limited stretches of dry weather as we head through the spring months. The result? Wetter conditions than normal over the last 12 months across almost the entire Continental U.S. east of the Rockies.
2019 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook
The 2018 hurricane season was busier than normal and featured significant impacts in the Southeastern United States from Hurricanes Florence and Michael, though no direct impacts up the coast into the Northeast. As we approach June 1st, the official beginning of the Atlantic hurricane season, let’s take a look at factors that will influence tropical activity and how the U.S. landfall risk looks compared to normal.
El Niño’s Influence
April 2019: Mild with Record Snow?
From severe thunderstorms to record breaking, out of season snowfall, April 2019 certainly had it all across the Midwest! Amazingly, even with the snowfall, it was a generally mild month across the region. Let’s dive into some specifics…
The Monthly Totals:
Record Precipitation Falls in February 2019
It was an active month of February across the Midwest with record precipitation (rain and melted snowfall) across parts of the region. However, with only Chicago coming in colder than average, not all of that was snow.
In terms of temperature, Cincinnati and Dayton both finished nearly four degrees above-average for the month (3.7 and 3.8 degrees respectively). Columbus (2.0 degrees warmer) and Indianapolis (1.7 degrees) were a bit closer to average, with only Chicago coming in colder than average with a monthly departure of -1.8 degrees.
A Cold and Snowy January 2019
January 2019 certainly made up for a relatively mild and snowless December, with record-setting cold at times and above-average snowfall across the Midwest.
In terms of monthly totals, Chicago finished 2.8 degrees colder than average. Indianapolis, Cincinnati, and Columbus also finished below normal, but by less than a degree. Dayton was the mild spot, coming in a degree warmer than average for January (which is not necessarily warm with average lows near 20 and high near 35).
Winter Isn't Over Yet
We get it. Baltimore hit 70, Boston 65 last week. Even the Midwest enjoyed at least a day or two in the 50s or 60s. On top of that, the Groundhog didn’t see his shadow! Many people are wondering, was that it? The answer to that is no, and it’s not simply due to the calendar…we only have to go back to last year to see snow well into April…but the upcoming weather pattern will be conducive to more bouts of cold weather along with opportunities for snow.
December 2018: Wet, but not very Snowy
After a chilly November with multiple rounds of snow across the Midwest, winter largely backed off for most of December. It was a mild and wet first month of meteorological winter, with all major cities finishing well-above normal in the temperature department and also wetter than average.
Midwest September 2018 Summary: Rainy and Warm!
Summer was slow to depart this September, with all locations in the Midwest finishing much warmer than average. It was an odd month rainfall-wise as there were extended dry periods; but when it rained, it poured, with large parts of Ohio, Indiana, and Illinois doubling their average rainfall for the month.