2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook
It felt like winter just ended yesterday but we are currently on the cusp of hurricane season, which begins June 1st. So, now is a good time to gauge what has been happening pattern-wise and what trends are in store for the future. While the Northeast was spared from the active 2017 hurricane season, will this year be just as busy? Let’s take a look at the factors that will influence tropical activity over the next several months.
April 2018: Slow Transition to Spring
Indeed, winter would not give up as colder than normal conditions persisted well into the first two-thirds of April. While it was effectively over in states like Maryland, Virginia, and most of Delaware, snow continued to fall across northern states as temperatures remained stubbornly below normal otherwise. Seasonable weather would arrive eventually but took until the pattern broke by the final week, making April arguably one of the worst transition months into Spring in a while.
Spring? Are You There?!
What a tease February was in its final week when temperatures soared into the 60s and 70s across the entire Northeast! As we know now though, the party did not last long as winter came roaring back for seconds not even a week into the month of March. For those hoping for a smooth transition into spring, well, the pattern just was not your friend.
January/February 2018: Quite the Roller Coaster!
As the ball dropped in Times Square in New York City, the temperature was a whopping..9 degrees under clear skies. Quite chilly! Up and down the coast the Northeast rang in 2018 in the single digits, and in many other cases, below zero. Despite this frigid pattern that held early in January, it has been rather tumultuous over the past two months. Let’s dig in.
Cold Weather, Hypothermia, and Frostbite
While weather can be exciting or a nuisance (depending on which season you are fond of…), it can also be quite dangerous. In light of the recent brutal cold stretches we’ve had across the eastern half of the U.S., it becomes pertinent to talk about hypothermia and frostbite. Hypothermia, in particular, kills up to 1,500 people in the US every year. While this is a frightening statistic, it is most certainly preventable. So, let’s first delve into some science!
November/December 2017: Descending Into Winter
Winter certainly wasted no time making an appearance this season! While November gave us a little taste of the cold, December gave us quite the seasonal shock. Let us dive right into what has been happening over the past two months.
How to Measure: Snowfall
Measuring snowfall sounds like an easy task at first, but a lot more work is involved than it would seem. Plenty of snow-lovers want to quickly run into their backyard and know how much snow fell by excitedly sticking a ruler in the snow. Trust us, we would love to do the same thing. That’s easy, right? Unfortunately, there are many problems with this and it leads to inaccurate totals.
October 2017: Very Warm and Rather Uneventful
October was…quiet. Well, except for the rainstorm at the end of the month but it really was rather uneventful. It felt warm, it was dry until the very end of the month, and even with several frontal passages, there was not much to really make note of.
Temperature Inversion Explainer
If you happen to have a thermometer in your car (which most modern cars do), have you ever noticed that on a given winter morning when skies are clear, it reads warmer on hills? Then, when you descend into the valleys or are in a very open area that lacks development (such as the Pine Barrens), it is much colder? This kind of early morning can see 20-degree temperature swings across a relatively small region. But… why?
A Mainly Dry and Warm September in the Northeast
What a flip-flop of a month September was! While August gave us the impression summer really wasn’t going to make a comeback, September brought back the real dog days of summer. While we were initially cool with tropical influences, the second half of the month was a near non-stop stretch of warmth and largely dry weather.