Superbowl Sunday Snow Threat?

Posted: February 1, 2013, 9:31 am by ntroiano

The first Sunday in February is traditionally marked by friends and family gathering together in order to view one of the most watched sporting events of the year - the Superbowl. However, for some workers in the snow and ice industry (not to mention the meteorologists) Mother Nature may through a monkey wrench into the typical festivities. A rather disorganized storm system is expected to spread clouds and snow across most of the Mid-Atlantic, Northeast and New England just in time for the big game. As a result, some of us may have trade in our pizza, wings and remote controls for snow shovels, plows and winter coats. Although this snow threat looks to be relatively light...with a dusting to two inches or so expected across most of the area...workers will undoubtedly have to take time out of their day to plan, prepare and ultimately do some form of work for this event. Although the specifics are still a bit uncertain at the moment, we will do our best to break this threat down so you can plan accordingly.

A weak and moisture starved clipper is expected to cross the mountains of Western New York and Central Pennsylvania by midday Saturday, and likely spread areas of light snow across parts of the I-95 corridor by later Saturday afternoon and evening. While there is still some uncertainty as to how far east the area of precipitation makes it before dying out, there is a reasonable chance that most locations south and west of the Northern New Jersey / Mid-Hudson Valley Region will see light accumulations throughout the overnight and into the predawn hours of Sunday morning. After this occurs, a strong mid-level disturbance is expected to quickly follow in its heels and reinvigorate the area of snow by early Sunday morning. As this occurs, energy is expected to be transferred to a coastal area of low pressure somewhere of the New Jersey Seaboard. Exactly where and when this low forms will ultimately dictate how much additional snow falls and where the greatest accumulations will be.

At the moment, the storm looks like it will develop too far out to sea to give the Mid-Atlantic States anything other than an additional dusting to one inch of snowfall. The greatest threat for accumulations over 2 inches should be limited to New England along with eastern areas of Long Island. Here, the intensifying storm may through enough moisture back into the region for as much as three or four inches to accumulate by the time the system moves out to sea by late Sunday evening. It should be noted, however, that this forecast is far from set in stone. Any slight variation in track may have significant ramifications on snowfall amounts and timing. For the latest details be sure to check back with us over the weekend, as we will be hard at work analyzing the latest data as it becomes available.

Lead Long Range Meteorologist
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